README

Dataset Title

Win-Win Agricultural Areas Dataset (1 km² resolution grid)

Purpose

This dataset supports the analysis presented in the [Policy Brief Title], examining the effects of targeted de-intensification on agricultural greenhouse gas emissions, biodiversity, and economic output across the EU.

It enables spatially explicit identification of so-called “win-win” areas — grid cells where emissions can be reduced and biodiversity improved with minimal economic loss.

Spatial Coverage

• Region: European Union (EU)
  
• Grid resolution: 1 km²
  
• Coordinate columns: x, y (projected spatial grid)
  

Source Data and Models

• LUM Geodatabase (2018)
  
• EPIC model (D5.1)
  
• GLOBIOM livestock and crop parameters
  
• PREDICTS database (D5.2)
  
• Eurostat apro_cpshr dataset (2016–2021)
  
• FAOSTAT producer prices (2016–2021)
  
• Exchange rate: 0.95 USD to EUR
  

Column Descriptions

ColumnTypeDescriptionxnumericX-coordinate (spatial reference)ynumericY-coordinate (spatial reference)Win-win_shares_catfactorPercent of 1 km² pixel overlapping with win-win areaGWP_t_emission_per_EUR_yieldnumericGHG emissions per EUR of agricultural yield (in tonnes CO₂-eq/EUR)GWP_emission_t_absolute_changenumericAbsolute difference in tonnes GHG emissions between baseline and de-intensified caseBII_percentage_change_per_EUR_yieldnumericPercentage change in BII per EUR yield (ΔBII/EUR)BII_percentage_changenumericAbsolute % change in BII between baseline and de-intensified caseGWP_BII_joint_categoricalcharacterJoint outcome classification, e.g., “Lose-lose”, “Biodiv. win”BII_percentage_change_per_EUR_yield_categoricalfactorCategorical version of BII change per EUR yield (e.g., “Low”, “High”)GWP_t_emission_per_EUR_yield_categoricalfactorCategorical version of GHG emissions per EUR yield (e.g., “Low”, “High”)

Indicator Construction Summary

1. Agricultural Revenue Indicator

• Combines arable crop and pasture outputs valued in EUR.
  
• Yields simulated via EPIC model; prices from FAOSTAT.
  
• Crop-type shares derived from Eurostat; livestock output from GLOBIOM.
  

2. GHG Emissions Indicator

• Crop-related: Nitrogen input and soil organic carbon loss.
  
• Livestock-related: Enteric fermentation, manure management (GLOBIOM).
  
• Converted to CO₂-equivalents using standard IPCC factors.
  

3. Biodiversity Indicator

• Based on Biodiversity Intactness Index (BII).
  
• Calculated using PREDICTS-derived response functions for land-use classes.
  
• Area-weighted per 1 km² pixel.
  

Definition of “Win-Win” Areas

A pixel is classified as win-win if all the following conditions are met under a hypothetical de-intensification scenario:

• ≥ 1 ton/ha reduction in GHG emissions
  
• ≥ 1 % improvement in BII
  
• ≤ €350/ha loss in agricultural revenue
  

Data Resolution and Privacy

• Native grid: 1 km²
  
• For visualization (e.g., figures): Win-win_shares_cat aggregated to 50 km² to protect privacy